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Fuel and foreign currency derivatives use in the Us airline industry - the impact on Tobin’s Q

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This thesis examines the use of foreign currency and fuel derivatives by a sample of 26 passenger airlines, between 2000 and 2016. The main goal is to study the impact on Tobin’s Q. Based on previous literature, I investigate if there is a premium associated with using these derivatives, controlling for other variables that might affect Q. The results are not statistically significant but point to a positive premium associated with the use of currency derivatives and a discount for the use of fuel derivatives. These results are consistent with an alternative approach, using ROA, stock returns and revenue growth sensitivity to fuel and currency prices. I also study the likeliness of a firm hedging these risks based on its fundamentals. A negative correlation between jet fuel prices and the price of the US dollar relative to a representative basket of currencies indicates the possible presence of a natural hedge, meaning that losses from high prices in one of the factors may be offset by gains in the other.

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Derivatives Airlines Tobin´s q Hedging Jet fuel Foreign currency

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Licença CC