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Relationship between oil prices and real exchange rates: the case of Angola
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Resumo(s)
This paper examines the long-run synergies between oil prices and real exchange rates in Angola, between January 2002 and July 2017. Our study considers both the official and the parallel market exchange rate. To achieve this, standard integration/co-integration techniques were conducted, and an error correction model was estimated. Our results reject the purchasing power parity hypothesis and present evidence of long-run co-movements between oil prices and real exchange rates. Moreover, examination of the short-run dynamics displays evidence of unilateral Granger causality from oil prices to real exchange rates.
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Palavras-chave
Real exchange rates oil prices Co-integration Error-Correction model