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This work assesses how the students’ high school track choice affects grade progression and drop-out rate throughout high school as well as college enrollment using a logistic regression and a PSM approach. It uses students’ characteristics, social background, past educational results and the students’ college entrance expectation in the 10th grade as control and matching variables. Follows a cohort of students in the 10th grade in school year 2010/2011 up until 2014/2015. The main findings are that, controlling for college enrollment expectation, choosing a vocational track increases the probability of transition and high school completion, but also the dropout rate.
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Vocational education College enrollment Academic success Binary dependent model Propensity score matching
