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Evaluating the impact of quantitative easing and tightening events on Portuguese sovereign bond yields: a new methodology for the redenomination premium

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2024_25_Fall_46933_Andr_Neves.pdf1.83 MBAdobe PDF Ver/Abrir

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This paper evaluates the effects of Quantitative Easing and Quantitative Tightening programs on the Portuguese Sovereign Bond Yields and its channels from 2020 to 2023, using an events-study methodology. Credit Default Swaps with different clauses and currencies are used to obtain Quanto Credit Default Swaps and the ISDA Basis, which are then used to estimate the channels that compose the yield. For the 5-year maturity, QE affected the yield through the Default and Redenomination channels particularly in the announcements of the creation of PEPP and the first additional package of PEPP, with an abnormal effect of -29 and -18 basis points, respectively. QT affected the yield mainly through the Euro Swap Rate and the Segmentation channels, with the abnormal effects corresponding to 36 and 32 basis points for the first and second announcements of 2022, respectively.

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Quantitative easing Quantitative tightening Monetary policy transmission Sovereign bond market Credit default swap

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Licença CC