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3G mobile internet and incumbency advantage
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This thesis examines the impact of the dissemination of mobile internet on incumbency advantage
in the U.S. House of Representatives and state legislative elections from 1976 to 2022. Prior
to the introduction of mobile internet, incumbents enjoyed significant electoral benefits, with
vote share premiums of approximately 10 and 7 percentage points in congressional and state
legislative elections, respectively. However, following the adoption of 3G mobile internet, this
advantage decreased by nearly 60% in the House of Representatives and 40% in state legislative
elections. An event study confirms this decline occurred only after the introduction of mobile
internet.
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Elections Incumbency advantage Media Mobile internet