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Weathering the storm: the influence of tropical cyclones on Madagascar´s tourism industry
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| 2.72 MB | Adobe PDF |
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Resumo(s)
This thesis examines the impact of tropical cyclones on Madagascar's tourism industry
through a detailed analysis of storm data from 1990 to 2024. Employing time-series forecasting
and regression models for the politically stable period of 2010 to 2019, the study explores how
cyclonic activity correlates with fluctuations in tourist arrivals. Results indicate that while
cyclones reduce tourism in the short term, other meteorological and economic variables have
greater predictive power in estimating tourist arrivals in the long term. This research provides
valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders in regions prone to similar climatic
challenges.
Descrição
Palavras-chave
Madagascar Tropical cyclones Time series forecasting Tourim impact Disaster management Climate change Predictive modeling Weather patterns