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A sectoral approach to quantile time-series momentum

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2023_24_Fall_53137_Ricardo_Silva.pdf1.61 MBAdobe PDF Ver/Abrir

Resumo(s)

In this study the presence of time-series momentum at a quantile level is investigated across different sectors of U.S. equities and stock indexes from 1970 to 2022 using quantile regressions. It was found that the upper quantiles of the returns’ distribution show evidence of quantile time-series momentum, particularly for stock indexes. The best results were observed for the 90th quantile, with poorer results for the returns distribution’s left side quantiles The analysis was redone for the 2012-2022 period, but results were overall worse. In addition, the short-term stock reversal effect was observed at a quantile level.

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Quantile regression Time-series momentum Stock returns Heavy tails

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Licença CC