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How the Russia-Ukraine war influence Jerónimo Martins-s valuation

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2022_23_Fall_48492_Francisco_Jesus_Report.pdf2.79 MBAdobe PDF Ver/Abrir

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The war in Ukraine has been playing a very significant role not only in the business of Jerónimo Martins but a wide range of other companies and sectors all around the world. The analysis determines the impact this shock had on consumer spending, commodities prices, and inflation, which provoked changes in JMT revenues, costs, and Capex, which directly affected the WACC and share price. Accordingly, there were created three scenarios based on the possible outcomes that may result from this war. Under today’s context of high uncertainty and challenging times, this study allowed us to get a better understanding of what kind of impacts it could have on the target share prices. Assuming probabilities for each scenario according to their likelihood, the final JMT target price was €20.88, which represents a 1.0% upside compared to the value of the share, earning a HOLD Recommendation for JMT’s stock.

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Jerónimo Martins War Scenarios Share Price

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Licença CC