The future of the logistics Industry in the European Union by 2032 - the acceptance and implementation of frontier technologies in the logistics industry - the case of commercial drone deliveries

Abstract

This work project develops an outlook for the future of the logistics industry in the EU until 2032 and provides strategic recommendations for logistics managers. An analysis of the transactional and contextual environment is conducted to generate future scenarios. The stability of the geopolitical and economic landscape and the density of the technology network are identified as critical uncertainties which form the two axes for four scenarios. Strategic short- and long-term options are recommended for all scenarios. Finally, early indicators are developed to monitor the environment and anticipate which scenario may unfold. Individual research examines factors for frontier technologies’ implementation.