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This paper“ Heading towards the next excess supply crisis” investigates the relationship between excess steel supply in China and global steel prices. The analysis aims at understanding the impact of increasing excess supply on ArcelorMittal’s realized price per segment. It implies that subsidies and loose regulatory frameworks in China cause steel output to increase, contradicting sluggish domestic demand from the automotive sector. This pressurizes global steel prices as China floods international markets with cheap materials. The effect is even more severe in developing countries as these are predominantly targeted by Chinese steel exports.
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Chinese steel market Excess steel supply Global steel prices
