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Learning by teaching: reinforcement learning and regime-aware option strategy selection

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2024_25_Fall_68506_VF.pdf798.28 KBAdobe PDF Ver/Abrir

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This project applies Reinforcement Learning to options trading, framing the environment as a systematic trading decision process. A Proximal Policy Optimization agent selects among risk-defined option strategies: Vertical Spreads, Straddles, Strangles, Condors, and No-Trade, based on market features such as Greeks, implied volatility, moneyness, and macro indicators (VIX3M/VIX, yield-curve slope, SPX moving averages). Trained on SPY weekly options with a constant five-week Friday-to-Friday maturity from 2020 to 2024, the model captures about 88% of the oracle benchmark and converges to two behavioural modes: short-volatility exploitation and defensive long-volatility positioning, demonstrating it can internalize financially coherent, regime-aware trading logic.

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Options trading Reinforcement learning Proximal policy optimization Regime awareness Quantitative strategies

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Licença CC