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Impact of the United States unemployment rate news in stock markets’ returns

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Resumo(s)

Along with the growth product and the inflation rate, the unemployment rate is viewed as a way to describe a country strength and healthiness. It is reasonable to assume that a change in the unemployment rate will have an impact in the expectations of an economic agent over the future path of the economy. Being these changes a macroeconomic feature it will have an effect on the economic activity not only by the businesses expectations but also by the financial institutions. This study proposes to use the event studies’ framework to analyse the impact of unemployment changes in the stock market returns. In addition, it compares the United States stock market returns with other important markets regarding this particular announcement. The study provides evidence that this announcement has indeed some influence over the market expectations.

Descrição

A Work Project, presented as part as the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the Nova School in Business and Economics

Palavras-chave

Unemployment Rate Event-Study Market Efficiency Market Expectations

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Licença CC