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Sovereign debt default risk and Covid-19 - the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on sovereign default risk and the relevance of fiscal space in developed and developing economies

datacite.subject.fosCiências Sociais::Economia e Gestãopt_PT
dc.contributor.advisorRodrigues, Paulo Manuel Marques
dc.contributor.authorSales, Francisco de Oliveira Trovão
dc.date.accessioned2023-07-28T16:12:31Z
dc.date.available2023-07-28T16:12:31Z
dc.date.issued2023-01-12
dc.date.submitted2022-12-15
dc.description.abstractIn the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic CDS spreads over the world ramped up. I study how market perception for sovereign debt default (represented by 5- year CDS spreads) evolved depending on the intensity of the economic shock caused by the spread of COVID-19, in developed and developing economies. Using a threshold model, I find a statistically significant relation between the increase in COVID-19 and the increase in CDS spreads for developed economies, with that impact being more than doubled when the country is fiscally constrained. For developing economies, I conclude that the shock in CDS spreads is mostly driven by global-risk factors.pt_PT
dc.identifier.tid203312660pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/155951
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.relationUID/ECO/00124/2013pt_PT
dc.subjectSovereign defaultpt_PT
dc.subjectCovid-19pt_PT
dc.subjectFiscal spacept_PT
dc.subjectThreshold estimationpt_PT
dc.titleSovereign debt default risk and Covid-19 - the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on sovereign default risk and the relevance of fiscal space in developed and developing economiespt_PT
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typemasterThesispt_PT
thesis.degree.nameA Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economicspt_PT

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