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On the behaviour of voters and politicians: municipal elections and the economy

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This thesis investigates the behaviour of politicians and voters in local elections. The first paper studies the effects of campaigning when public funding covers a sizeable share of spending. It develops a probabilistic voting model and a causal, instrumental variable, empirical analysis using a novel database of political campaigns from the Portuguese Constitutional Court. The second paper is a field-experiment that evaluates the impact of the information conveyed by the media to the voters on their political perceptions and voting behaviour. In the last, I use the fact that mayors increase spending in election years to estimate the local economic impacts of increased expenditure.

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Local elections Campaign spending Negativity bias Local fiscal multipliers

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Licença CC