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Equity Valuation: Mercedes-Benz Group AG

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Resumo(s)

The primary aim of this thesis is to conduct an equity valuation of Mercedes Benz, with the objective of delivering an investment recommendation by determining the fair value of the company's shares. The valuation employs two main methodologies: the Discounted Cash Flow (“DCF”) model and the Relative Valuation (or multiples) model. Upon applying the DCF and Relative Valuation models, the resultant valuation suggests strategic investment actions. According to the outcomes derived from the DCF model, if the computed share value notably exceeds the market price as of the most recent fiscal year-end, a 'buy' recommendation may be warranted. Our analysis estimates a fair share price of €79.60, significantly above the market price of €50.90 as of 30 June 2025, leading to a buy or hold recommendation for investors. To support this, we applied two key market multiples: Price to Earnings (“P/E”) and Enterprise Value to EBITDA (“EV/EBITDA”). These were selected due to their relevance in assessing profitability, operational performance, and comparability within the mature automotive industry.

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Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Information Management, specialization in Business Intelligence

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Mercedes-Benz Cars Equity Valuation Free Cash Flow to Firm Relative Valuation Automative Sector SDG 8 - Decent work and economic growth

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