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IBNR techniques in health insurance: a machine learning approach

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Resumo(s)

Loss reserves are typically one of the largest liabilities on an insurer’s balance sheet since they can have a significant impact on profits as well as the insurer’s solvency. The Chain Ladder model is an outstanding actuarial reserving technique that has been applied over the years to estimate Incurred But Not Reported claims. This project aims to provide the most accurate estimates possible for the calculation and prediction of reserve claim amounts in the context of corporate health insurance. For this, the Chain Ladder approach is compared with machine learning algorithms such as the Support Vector Machine (SVM), the Random Forest (RF), the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Neural Networks (NN).

Descrição

Project Work presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Statistics and Information Management, specialization in Risk Analysis and Management

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IBNR Health Insurance Chain Ladder Machine Learning Predicting Claims

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