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Suitability Mapping of Solar Power Plants Using an Explainable AI-Based Approach

datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informaçãopt_PT
dc.contributor.advisorVanneschi, Leonardo
dc.contributor.advisorPainho, Marco Octávio Trindade
dc.contributor.advisorGould, Michael
dc.contributor.authorHewa, Rasanka Mangala de Silva Mawanane
dc.date.accessioned2024-03-27T10:50:55Z
dc.date.available2024-03-27T10:50:55Z
dc.date.issued2024-03-01
dc.descriptionDissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologiespt_PT
dc.description.abstractThe conventional approaches to identifying optimal locations for solar power plants are traditionally handled through Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) techniques, which often suffer from subjectivity and lack of transparency. Although recent advancements in Machine Learning (ML) have offered potential solutions to MCDM-based methods, traditional ML models struggle to explain their predictions and operate without assuming that current solar power plants are in optimal locations. Thus, this research represents an integrated explainable AI approach with ML methods, aiming to enhance the transparency and comprehensibility of results and introduce a novel paradigm by employing the classified efficiency of existing plants, categorized into five classes, as the dependent variable for ML models, thereby challenging the prevalent assumption inherent in conventional ML models. Twelve independent variables selected through a literature review were used, along with the classified efficiency values, to train five ML models, namely, Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP), Decision tree (DT), and K-nearest neighbors (k-NN). Following the assessment of the models' accuracies, the RF model, which achieved 88% overall accuracy, was subsequently explained using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), revealing Solar Radiation (13%) and Cloud Index (12%) as the most influential variables for the resulting predictions. In comparison, Aspect (5%) was identified as the least significant parameter to the model predictions. The final solar suitability map produced with the superior RF model identified approximately 5% of the total land area in the USA as highly suitable for constructing solar power plants, ensuring optimal operational efficiency. Additionally, 55% of the land is moderately suitable for such establishments. Conversely, approximately 9.5% of the total land area, equivalent to 766,654 km2, is deemed permanently unsuitable for solar power plant construction.pt_PT
dc.identifier.tid203561368pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/165508
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectRenewable Energypt_PT
dc.subjectGeographical Information Systemspt_PT
dc.subjectMachine Learningpt_PT
dc.subjectExplainable Artificial Intelligencept_PT
dc.subjectSuitability Mappingpt_PT
dc.subjectUnited States of Americapt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 7 - Affordable and clean energypt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructurept_PT
dc.subjectSDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communitiespt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 12 - Responsible production and consumptionpt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 13 - Climate actionpt_PT
dc.titleSuitability Mapping of Solar Power Plants Using an Explainable AI-Based Approachpt_PT
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typemasterThesispt_PT
thesis.degree.nameMestrado em Tecnologias Geoespaciaispt_PT

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