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Urban Heat Island Response to Projected Land-Use Change and Surface Energy Balance Modifications in Chongqing City, China

2025-12-01Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorYeboah, Emmanuel
dc.contributor.authorWang, Guojie
dc.contributor.authorCabral, Pedro
dc.contributor.authorSarfo, Isaac
dc.contributor.authorWei, Xikun
dc.contributor.authorLiu, Haonan
dc.contributor.authorShao, Yuhao
dc.contributor.authorAmankwah, Solomon Obiri Yeboah
dc.contributor.authorShwe, Myint Myint
dc.contributor.authorIqbal, Javeed
dc.contributor.authorJiang, Shan
dc.contributor.authorOduro, Collins
dc.contributor.institutionInformation Management Research Center (MagIC) - NOVA Information Management School
dc.contributor.pblSpringer Nature
dc.date.accessioned2026-01-14T15:41:49Z
dc.date.available2026-01-14T15:41:49Z
dc.date.embargoedUntil2026-10-09
dc.date.issued2025-12-01
dc.descriptionYeboah, E., Wang, G., Cabral, P., Sarfo, I., Wei, X., Liu, H., Shao, Y., Amankwah, S. O. Y., Shwe, M. M., Iqbal, J., Jiang, S., & Oduro, C. (2025). Urban Heat Island Response to Projected Land-Use Change and Surface Energy Balance Modifications in Chongqing City, China. Journal of Geovisualization and Spatial Analysis, 9(2), Article 37. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41651-025-00238-z --- We express our gratitude to the School of Remote Sensing & Geomatics Engineering at NUIST, China, for supplying the necessary resources to achieve this academic milestone. We extend our heartfelt thanks to the editors and anonymous reviewers for their valuable and insightful comments. The authors would like to also express their gratitude to the Daniel Fiifi Tawia Hagan for providing valuable and insightful comments on the manuscript.
dc.description.abstractUrban heat island (UHI) effects are intensifying in rapidly urbanizing regions, with mid-latitude cities like Chongqing, China, increasingly affected. However, the combined future causal influence of land-use/land-cover change (LULCC) and surface energy balance on UHI dynamics in mountainous cities remains underexplored. This study addresses this gap by integrating Landsat datasets and CMIP6 projections with extended convergent cross-mapping (ECCM) and extended geographical convergent cross-mapping (EGCCM) to investigate UHI evolution in Chongqing, China, from 1992 to 2062 under varying socioeconomic scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). Our results demonstrate dramatic urban expansion, with built-up areas growing by 1399% (from 230 to 3447 km2) and corresponding UHI intensity increasing by 2.56 °C by 2022. Future projections indicate continued intensification, reaching 3.45 °C under SSP2-4.5 and 3.81 °C under SSP5-8.5 by 2062. Energy balance analysis revealed strong relationships between UHI and key surface fluxes, particularly net radiation (R2 = 0.88) and sensible heat (R2 = 0.85), while latent heat decreased by 22.7% (from 110 to 85 W/m2). Vegetated areas demonstrated significant cooling effects (R2 = 0.79), contrasting with impervious surfaces that enhanced radiative forcing. Causal analysis identified built-up areas (ρ > 0.75) and bare land (ρ ≈ 0.65) as primary UHI drivers, while forests mitigated heat accumulation (ρ ≈ −0.70). The study also revealed distinctive topographic influences, with valley-confined urban cores exhibiting 15–20% higher sensible heat fluxes compared to flat areas. This study advances UHI research in mountain cities by developing a transferable framework combining climate projections and causal analysis. The findings support climate-adaptive planning through nature-based solutions for global urban heat challenges.en
dc.description.versionauthorsversion
dc.description.versionpublished
dc.format.extent32
dc.format.extent2509201
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s41651-025-00238-z
dc.identifier.issn2509-8810
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 131926511
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: 19c74663-5e49-4e90-acce-46d452e7a346
dc.identifier.othercrossref: 10.1007/s41651-025-00238-z
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 105018573591
dc.identifier.otherWOS: 001591508500001
dc.identifier.otherORCID: /0000-0001-8622-6008/work/193974482
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/198945
dc.identifier.urlhttps://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105018573591
dc.identifier.urlhttps://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/WOS:001591508500001
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.subjectUrban heat island
dc.subjectLand-use change
dc.subjectEnergy balance
dc.subjectCausal inference
dc.subjectCMIP6
dc.subjectChina
dc.subjectGeography, Planning and Development
dc.subjectComputers in Earth Sciences
dc.subjectEarth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous)
dc.subjectSDG 13 - Climate Action
dc.subjectSDG 15 - Life on Land
dc.titleUrban Heat Island Response to Projected Land-Use Change and Surface Energy Balance Modifications in Chongqing City, Chinaen
dc.typejournal article
degois.publication.issue2
degois.publication.titleJournal of Geovisualization and Spatial Analysis
degois.publication.volume9
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsembargoedAccess

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