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Traditional Machine Learning vs. GPT-4: A Comparative Study on ESG Score Prediction

datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informaçãopt_PT
dc.contributor.advisorRio, José Américo Alves Sustelo
dc.contributor.authorCiraso, Chiara
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-07T11:41:42Z
dc.date.available2025-10-29T01:30:24Z
dc.date.issued2024-10-29
dc.descriptionDissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Statistics and Information Management, specialization in Information Analysis and Managementpt_PT
dc.description.abstractThis thesis examines the performance of traditional machine learning (ML) methods and large language models (LLMs), specifically GPT-4, within the context of predicting Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) scores. Leveraging on a dataset based on information by leading companies in the realm of environmental indicators and ESG rating, respectively Urgentem and Moody’s, this study evaluates the models under three distinct scenarios: high-dimensional noisy data, lowerdimensional imbalanced data, and datasets with scarce information. Traditional ML methods, including Decision Trees (DT), K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), and Support Vector Machines (SVM), are compared against GPT-4's capabilities in handling these conditions to explore strengths and weaknesses of both approaches across different aspects of the analytical chain, from data pre-processing to interpretation. Results indicate that traditional ML models, particularly ensembles of DT, KNN, and SVM, excel in handling high-dimensional and noisy. In contrast, GPT-4 demonstrates superior performance with simpler, well-defined use-cases. Both approaches reveal specific advantages and limitations, highlighting the importance of model selection based on dataset characteristics and specific application needs. The thesis underscores the importance of balancing automated approaches with expert control. The findings suggest a complementary application of traditional ML methods and LLMs, leveraging their respective strengths for more robust and comprehensive ESG scoring frameworks tailored to the practitioners’ need.pt_PT
dc.identifier.tid203776224pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/174754
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.subjectMachine Learningpt_PT
dc.subjectLarge Language Modelspt_PT
dc.subjectGenerative AIpt_PT
dc.subjectGPT-4pt_PT
dc.subjectESG Scorespt_PT
dc.subjectSustainabilitypt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 8 - Decent work and economic growthpt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructurept_PT
dc.subjectSDG 13 - Climate actionpt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 16 - Peace, justice and strong institutionspt_PT
dc.titleTraditional Machine Learning vs. GPT-4: A Comparative Study on ESG Score Predictionpt_PT
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typemasterThesispt_PT
thesis.degree.nameMestrado em Estatística e Gestão de Informação, especialização em Análise e Gestão de Informaçãopt_PT

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