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Exploring Stochastic Efficiency Analysis for Expected Goals in Football: Assessing Offensive Efficiency Across Europes’s Major Football Leagues

datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informaçãopt_PT
dc.contributor.advisorDamásio, Bruno Miguel Pinto
dc.contributor.authorVilela, João António Torres Fernandes
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-15T14:21:37Z
dc.date.available2024-11-15T14:21:37Z
dc.date.issued2024-11-06
dc.descriptionDissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Data Science and Advanced Analytics, specialization in Business Analyticspt_PT
dc.description.abstractThis thesis explores how football analytics have changed with the use of advanced metrics, especially focusing on expected goals (xG) to measure player and team performance. The goal is to understand how xG relates to some of the football statistics and metrics that are used a lot, like number of shots, age, and market value of the players in the top five European football leagues from the season 2014-2015 to the season 2022-2023 . Using data from reliable football analytics websites, this study uses Stochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA) to evaluate offensive inefficiency, using the xG metric as the output of the equation and market value, age, shots, and player position were the chosen inputs. The results demonstrate that defenders and goalkeepers showed that they have less impact on offensive efficiency than the forwards and the midfielders, who showed that they have a significant impact on the game. Even with certain data limitations, the conclusions offer football teams useful information to improve player efficiency and guide strategic investment choices.pt_PT
dc.identifier.tid203777158pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/175312
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectExpected Goals (xG)pt_PT
dc.subjectStochastic Frontier Analysis (SFA)pt_PT
dc.subjectOffensive Efficiencypt_PT
dc.subjectPerformance Metricspt_PT
dc.subjectFootball Analyticspt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 8 - Decent work and economic growthpt_PT
dc.subjectSDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructurept_PT
dc.titleExploring Stochastic Efficiency Analysis for Expected Goals in Football: Assessing Offensive Efficiency Across Europes’s Major Football Leaguespt_PT
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typemasterThesispt_PT
thesis.degree.nameMestrado em Ciência de Dados e Métodos Analíticos Avançados, especialização em Métodos Analíticos para a Gestãopt_PT

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