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Basis-momentum

dc.contributor.authorBoons, Martijn
dc.contributor.authorPrado, Melissa Porras
dc.contributor.institutionNOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)
dc.contributor.pblWiley
dc.date.accessioned2019-07-26T22:37:24Z
dc.date.available2023-06-01T00:32:01Z
dc.date.embargoedUntil2021-02-26
dc.date.issued2019-02
dc.descriptionFunding agency: Fundação para a Ciencia e Tecnologia (grant nr. UID/ECO/00124/2013), POR Lisboa (grant nr. LISBOA-01-0145-FEDER-007722) and POR Norte (Social Sciences DataLab grant nr 2209)
dc.description.abstractWe introduce a return predictor related to the slope and curvature of the futures term structure: basis-momentum. Basis-momentum strongly outperforms benchmark characteristics in predicting commodity spot and term premiums in both the time series and the cross section. Exposure to basis-momentum is priced among commodity-sorted portfolios and individual commodities. We argue that basis-momentum captures imbalances in the supply and demand of futures contracts that materialize when the market-clearing ability of speculators and intermediaries is impaired, and that it represents compensation for priced risk. Our findings are inconsistent with alternative explanations based on storage, inventory, and hedging pressure.en
dc.description.versionauthorsversion
dc.description.versionpublished
dc.format.extent768330
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/jofi.12738
dc.identifier.issn0022-1082
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 10515248
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: d6389f6b-29ae-4e83-bcf8-89cd192c8a01
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 85057860137
dc.identifier.otherWOS: 000456806700006
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85057860137&partnerID=8YFLogxK
dc.identifier.urlhttps://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85057860137
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.subjectAccounting
dc.subjectFinance
dc.subjectEconomics and Econometrics
dc.titleBasis-momentumen
dc.typejournal article
degois.publication.firstPage239
degois.publication.issue1
degois.publication.lastPage279
degois.publication.titleThe Journal of Finance
degois.publication.volume74
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccess

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