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Optimizing the Allocation of Field Samples for Remote Sensing and Machine Learning-Based Crop classification Models by Assessing the Area of Applicability

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Reliable and accurate crop classification information can provide key insights for food security, production sustainability, agronomic decisions, logistics, and yield estimations; serving several different sectors and industries. Since decades ago, crop classification has been escalated by the use of different remote sensing sources and machine learning techniques, creating prediction models that could retrieve information from continuous areas and classify them according to the ground-truth data used as references to identify and map the targeted crops. However, the process of ground-truth sampling is nowadays the most challenging part resources-wise, since its obtaining implies gathering reference information through field surveys and crowdsourcing. Alternatively, efforts to reduce or guide ground-truth necessity have been studied, by using limited or transferred reference data, which implies pre-existent databases availability and state-of-the-art data extraction workflows. This study explores the Area of Applicability (AOA) assessment for validating crop classification model predictions by identifying areas outside the estimated prediction limits and providing different levels of confidence for the prediction made based on the training data and the variables presented to the model. The outcomes could provide a variant for areas that do not hold or provide open access to historical ground-truth data collections, to help optimize ground-truth samples allocation for crop classifications, by offering a potential guide for indicating areas that need further samples collection for presenting reliable predictions over these extensions, and could potentially bring further insights for validation of practices involving prediction models’ spatiotemporal transferability.

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Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies

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Area of Applicability spatial analysis crop classification remote sensing machine learning ground-truth samples

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