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Clustering-Based Identification of Energy Retrofitting Strategies in Italian Buildings: Integrating Weather Data, Spatial Data and Autoencoder-Enhanced Models

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Resumo(s)

In Europe, there is still a critical problem being faced regarding building energy inefficiency. Over the last years people have been more alert about the need for retrofitting as a solution to reduce energy consumption (EC) and support sustainability goals. The focus of this work is to understand how the integration of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and weather data can help the identification of retrofitting strategies for buildings. Nonetheless, to support this goal, it is studied the effectiveness of the usage of autoencoders to detect anomalies within building clusters. The focus of this study was the region of Lombardy, Italy and three datasets were used. Energy Performance Certificates (EPC) for the buildings with yearly data, a weather dataset containing daily details on weather conditions for the region and geospatial data. Different cluster techniques were integrated such as K-means and Self Organizing Maps (SOM) comparing both with and without weather data results. Then autoencoders were used to address the city-level problem presented by the weather features. The results showed that there was a temporal mismatch between the weather data and the EPC data which introduced biases into the results. The autoencoders showed a great capacity to mitigate this problem leading then to more interpretable and balanced clusters. The GIS visualizations enabled clear interpretations of the results, primarily of possible retrofit measures and the return on investment (ROI) associated. The conclusions aligned the initial hypothesis of the importance of the use of spatial data to support energy policy and retrofit decision-making. This work highlights the role of cluster and anomaly detection in the optimal identification of retrofitting strategies for buildings and suggest that the temporal alignment between datasets it is mandatory to unlock the maximum predictive capability of the models.

Descrição

Dissertation presented as the partial requirement for obtaining a Master's degree in Data Science and Advanced Analytics, specialization in Data Science

Palavras-chave

Energy Retrofit Energy Performance Artificial Intelligence Machine Learning Autoencoders GIS Spatial Factors Certification Buildings SDG 7 - Affordable and clean energy SDG 9 - Industry, innovation and infrastructure SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communities SDG 13 - Climate action

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