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Measuring evidence for mediation in the presence of measurement error

dc.contributor.authorLaghaie, Arash
dc.contributor.authorOtter, Thomas
dc.contributor.institutionNOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)
dc.contributor.pblAmerican Marketing Association
dc.date.accessioned2025-06-09T21:13:12Z
dc.date.available2025-06-09T21:13:12Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractMediation analysis empirically investigates the process underlying the effect of anexperimental manipulation on a dependent variable of interest. In the simplestmediation setting, the experimental treatment can affect the dependent variablethrough the mediator (indirect effect) and/or directly (direct effect). However,what appears to be an indirect effect in standard mediation analysis may reflect adata generating processwithoutmediation, including the possibility of a reversedcausal ordering of measured variables, regardless of the statistical properties of theestimate. To overcome this indeterminacy where possible, we develop the insightthat a statistically reliabletotaleffect combined with strong evidence for conditionalindependence of treatment and outcome given the mediator is unequivocal evidencefor mediation as the underlying causal model into an operational procedure. This isparticularly helpful when theory is insufficient to definitely causally order measuredvariables, or when the dependent variable is measured before what is believed tobe the mediator. Our procedure combines Bayes factors as principled measures ofthe degree of support for conditional independence, with latent variable modelingto account for measurement error and discretization in a fully Bayesian framework.Re-analyzing a set of published mediation studies, we illustrate how our approachfacilitates stronger conclusions.en
dc.description.versionpreprint
dc.description.versionpublished
dc.format.extent4566138
dc.identifier.doi10.1177/00222437231151
dc.identifier.issn0022-2437
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 50115008
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: 3173fdd2-fd7a-46f0-8ce3-8467395a6d35
dc.identifier.otherWOS: 001001202800001
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 85163030031
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/184058
dc.identifier.urlhttps://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85163030031
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.subjectMediation
dc.subjectCausal model identification
dc.subjectCausal direction
dc.subjectMeasurement
dc.subjectBayes factor
dc.titleMeasuring evidence for mediation in the presence of measurement erroren
dc.typejournal article
degois.publication.firstPage
degois.publication.issue5
degois.publication.lastPage
degois.publication.titleJournal Of Marketing Research
degois.publication.volume60
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rights

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