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Life-cycle performance of structures: combining expert judgment and results of inspection
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Resumo(s)
Current bridge management systems base decisions on the results of visual inspections. These systems consider visual inspection results as accurate and disregard any further information available. In the
present study, the result of each inspection is considered as a random variable, dependent of a wide range of factors, that can be integrated with other sources of information, including expert judgment and results of other inspections. The combination of different sources of information results in reliable posterior information and allows more accurate predictions of future deterioration. In the present paper, performance of an existing
structure is obtained in terms of the condition index, which describes the effects of deterioration as can be seen by an inspector, and the safety index, which measures the safety margin of the structure. The reduction in uncertainty associated with periodical inspections is considered through updating of performance profiles.
The updating of the condition index is direct, as new information on this parameter is collected by the inspector.
In terms of safety, however, only indirect information is collected and the uncertainty reduction associated with an inspection is significantly lower. Several realistic examples show the impact of inspections on
the predicted life-cycle performance of structures.
Descrição
Life-Cycle Civil Engineering – Biondini & Frangopol
Palavras-chave
Bridge management