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Socio-economic sensitivity to weather extremes

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While a growing body of research has examined the economic and social consequences of extreme weather, few attempts have been made to collate this evidence into a coherent map. This scoping review addresses this gap by providing the first systematic mapping of research on the socio-economic sensitivity of European regions to short-run weather shocks. Following a PRISMA-ScR protocol, we search Scopus and Web of Science, identifying 77 eligible articles published between 2000 and 2025. We analyse how studies define and measure weather shocks and socio-economic outcomes, the data and methods they employ, the sectors and regions they cover, as well as the associated impacts across sectors and the channels they operate through. Our review finds that weather shocks are consistently associated with reduced output growth, increased heat-related mortality, rising inflationary pressures, and greater inequality, with effects varying by region, sector, and income level. However, we also identify significant gaps in spatial resolution, sectoral coverage, and methodological diversity. By mapping the existing evidence and its limitations, this review provides a structured foundation for future research on weather-related socio-economic risk in Europe.

Descrição

Pandit, D. A., Neto, M. D. C., & Rodrigues, P. M. M. (2025). Socio-economic sensitivity to weather extremes: A scoping review of European research. (Working Papers; No. 27). Banco de Portugal. https://www.bportugal.pt/paper/socio-economic-sensitivity-weather-extremes-scoping-review-european-research --- D.A. Pandit and M.C Neto acknowledge that this work was supported by national funds through FCT (Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia), under the project - UIDB/04152 - Centro de Investigação em Gestão de Informação (MagIC)/NOVA IMS. P.M.M Rodrigues thanks the Portuguese Science Foundation (FCT) for financial support through project UID/ECO/00124/2013, and the project 2023.15199.PEX, as well as the Social Sciences DataLab, Project 22209, POR Lisboa (LISBOA-01-0145-FEDER-007722) and POR Norte (Social Sciences DataLab, Project 22209).

Palavras-chave

Weather shocks Socio-economic impacts Climate change Europe Scoping review SDG 10 - Reduced Inequalities SDG 13 - Climate Action

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Banco de Portugal

Licença CC