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Temperature frequency and mortality

2024-05Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorWu, Yao
dc.contributor.authorWen, Bo
dc.contributor.authorGasparrini, Antonio
dc.contributor.authorArmstrong, Ben
dc.contributor.authorSera, Francesco
dc.contributor.authorLavigne, Eric
dc.contributor.authorLi, Shanshan
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yuming
dc.contributor.authorOvercenco, Ala
dc.contributor.authorUrban, Aleš
dc.contributor.authorSchneider, Alexandra
dc.contributor.authorEntezari, Alireza
dc.contributor.authorVicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria
dc.contributor.authorZanobetti, Antonella
dc.contributor.authorAnalitis, Antonis
dc.contributor.authorZeka, Ariana
dc.contributor.authorTobias, Aurelio
dc.contributor.authorNunes, Baltazar
dc.contributor.authorAlahmad, Barrak
dc.contributor.authorForsberg, Bertil
dc.contributor.authorÍñiguez, Carmen
dc.contributor.authorAmeling, Caroline
dc.contributor.authorla Cruz Valencia, César De
dc.contributor.authorHouthuijs, Danny
dc.contributor.authorVan Dung, Do
dc.contributor.authorRoye, Dominic
dc.contributor.authorIndermitte, Ene
dc.contributor.authorMayvaneh, Fatemeh
dc.contributor.authorAcquaotta, Fiorella
dc.contributor.authorde'Donato, Francesca
dc.contributor.authorCarrasco-Escobar, Gabriel
dc.contributor.authorKan, Haidong
dc.contributor.authorCarlsen, Hanne Krage
dc.contributor.authorOrru, Hans
dc.contributor.authorKim, Ho
dc.contributor.authorHolobaca, Iulian Horia
dc.contributor.authorKyselý, Jan
dc.contributor.authorMadureira, Joana
dc.contributor.authorSchwartz, Joel
dc.contributor.authorJaakkola, Jouni J.K.
dc.contributor.authorKatsouyanni, Klea
dc.contributor.authorDiaz, Magali Hurtado
dc.contributor.authorRagettli, Martina S.
dc.contributor.authorHashizume, Masahiro
dc.contributor.authorPascal, Mathilde
dc.contributor.authorde Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline
dc.contributor.authorOrtega, Nicolás Valdés
dc.contributor.authorRyti, Niilo
dc.contributor.authorScovronick, Noah
dc.contributor.authorMichelozzi, Paola
dc.contributor.authorCorrea, Patricia Matus
dc.contributor.authorGoodman, Patrick
dc.contributor.authorNascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario
dc.contributor.authorRaz, Raanan
dc.contributor.authorAbrutzky, Rosana
dc.contributor.authorOsorio, Samuel
dc.contributor.authorPan, Shih Chun
dc.contributor.authorRao, Shilpa
dc.contributor.authorTong, Shilu
dc.contributor.authorAchilleos, Souzana
dc.contributor.authorDang, Tran Ngoc
dc.contributor.authorColistro, Valentina
dc.contributor.authorHuber, Veronika
dc.contributor.authorLee, Whanhee
dc.contributor.authorSeposo, Xerxes
dc.contributor.authorHonda, Yasushi
dc.contributor.authorKim, Yoonhee
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yue Leon
dc.contributor.institutionComprehensive Health Research Centre (CHRC) - Pólo ENSP
dc.contributor.institutionCentro de Investigação em Saúde Pública (CISP/PHRC)
dc.contributor.institutionEscola Nacional de Saúde Pública (ENSP)
dc.contributor.pblElsevier
dc.date.accessioned2024-08-13T22:16:13Z
dc.date.available2024-08-13T22:16:13Z
dc.date.issued2024-05
dc.descriptionFunding Information: This article appreciates the contribution of MCC network collaborators. This article is published in memory of Simona Fratianni who helped to contribute the data for Romania. Support for title page creation and format was provided by AuthorArranger, a tool developed at the National Cancer Institute. This study was supported by the Australian Research Council ( DP210102076 ) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council ( GNT2000581 ). YW and BW were supported by China Scholarship Council [grant numbers 202006010044 and 202006010043 ]. AU was supported by the Czech Science Foundation (project number 22-24920S ); PHNS by the S\u00E3o Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP); ST by the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (grant number 18411951600 ); AG and FS by the Medical Research Council UK (grant ID MR/R013349/1 ), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant ID NE/R009384/1 ), and the EU\u2019s Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655 ); FdD by the EU\u2019s Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655 ). SL was supported by an Emerging Leader Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council ( GNT2009866 ). YG was supported by the Career Development Fellowship ( GNT1163693 ) and Leader Fellowship ( GNT2008813 ) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council. The funders had no role in study design, data collection, analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. Funding Information: This article appreciates the contribution of MCC network collaborators. This article is published in memory of Simona Fratianni who helped to contribute the data for Romania. Support for title page creation and format was provided by AuthorArranger, a tool developed at the National Cancer Institute. This study was supported by the Australian Research Council (DP210102076) and the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (GNT2000581). YW and BW were supported by China Scholarship Council [grant numbers 202006010044 and 202006010043]. AU was supported by the Czech Science Foundation (project number 22-24920S); PHNS by the S\u00E3o Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP); ST by the Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (grant number 18411951600); AG and FS by the Medical Research Council UK (grant ID MR/R013349/1), the Natural Environment Research Council UK (grant ID NE/R009384/1), and the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655); FdD by the EU's Horizon 2020 project, Exhaustion (grant ID 820655). SL was supported by an Emerging Leader Fellowship of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (GNT2009866). YG was supported by the Career Development Fellowship (GNT1163693) and Leader Fellowship (GNT2008813) of the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council. The funders had no role in study design, data collection, analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. Publisher Copyright: © 2024
dc.description.abstractAssessing the association between temperature frequency and mortality can provide insights into human adaptation to local ambient temperatures. We collected daily time-series data on mortality and temperature from 757 locations in 47 countries/regions during 1979–2020. We used a two-stage time series design to assess the association between temperature frequency and all-cause mortality. The results were pooled at the national, regional, and global levels. We observed a consistent decrease in the risk of mortality as the normalized frequency of temperature increases across the globe. The average increase in mortality risk comparing the 10th to 100th percentile of normalized frequency was 13.03% (95% CI: 12.17–13.91), with substantial regional differences (from 4.56% in Australia and New Zealand to 33.06% in South Europe). The highest increase in mortality was observed for high-income countries (13.58%, 95% CI: 12.56–14.61), followed by lower-middle-income countries (12.34%, 95% CI: 9.27–15.51). This study observed a declining risk of mortality associated with higher temperature frequency. Our findings suggest that populations can adapt to their local climate with frequent exposure, with the adapting ability varying geographically due to differences in climatic and socioeconomic characteristics.en
dc.description.versionpublishersversion
dc.description.versionpublished
dc.format.extent4399931
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.envint.2024.108691
dc.identifier.issn0160-4120
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 97962048
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: 81fa54b3-c3a8-48ac-9650-d87999e14235
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 85192287383
dc.identifier.otherPubMed: 38718673
dc.identifier.otherWOS: 001240415000001
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/170555
dc.identifier.urlhttps://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85192287383
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.subjectAdaptation
dc.subjectClimate change
dc.subjectFrequency
dc.subjectMortality
dc.subjectTemperature
dc.subjectGeneral Environmental Science
dc.subjectSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
dc.subjectSDG 13 - Climate Action
dc.titleTemperature frequency and mortalityen
dc.title.subtitleassessing adaptation to local temperatureen
dc.typejournal article
degois.publication.titleEnvironment International
degois.publication.volume187
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccess

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