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Half a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risk

2019-12-01Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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dc.contributor.authorRusso, Simone
dc.contributor.authorSillmann, Jana
dc.contributor.authorSippel, Sebastian
dc.contributor.authorBarcikowska, Monika J.
dc.contributor.authorGhisetti, Claudia
dc.contributor.authorSmid, Marek
dc.contributor.authorO’Neill, Brian
dc.contributor.institutionNOVA Information Management School (NOVA IMS)
dc.contributor.pblNature Portfolio
dc.date.accessioned2019-01-29T23:46:38Z
dc.date.available2019-01-29T23:46:38Z
dc.date.issued2019-12-01
dc.description.abstractWhile every society can be exposed to heatwaves, some people suffer far less harm and recover more quickly than others from their occurrence. Here we project indicators of global heatwave risk associated with global warming of 1.5 and 2 °C, specified by the Paris agreement, for two future pathways of societal development representing low and high vulnerability conditions. Results suggest that at the 1.5 °C warming level, heatwave exposure in 2075 estimated for the population living in low development countries is expected to be greater than exposure at the warming level of 2 °C for the population living in very high development countries. A similar result holds for an illustrative heatwave risk index. However, the projected difference in heatwave exposure and the illustrative risk index for the low and very high development countries will be significantly reduced if global warming is stabilized below 1.5 °C, and in the presence of rapid social development.en
dc.description.versionpublishersversion
dc.description.versionpublished
dc.format.extent3168167
dc.identifier.doi10.1038/s41467-018-08070-4
dc.identifier.issn2041-1723
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 11385186
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: c39b83de-1a47-4f28-8848-6b234d0a2f5c
dc.identifier.otherScopus: 85059886159
dc.identifier.otherPubMed: 30635557
dc.identifier.otherWOS: 000455473700004
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85059886159&partnerID=8YFLogxK
dc.identifier.urihttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=Alerting&SrcApp=Alerting&DestApp=WOS_CPL&DestLinkType=FullRecord&UT=WOS:000455473700004
dc.identifier.urlhttps://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85059886159
dc.identifier.urlhttp://gateway.webofknowledge.com/gateway/Gateway.cgi?GWVersion=2&SrcAuth=Alerting&SrcApp=Alerting&DestApp=WOS_CPL&DestLinkType=FullRecord&UT=WOS:000455473700004
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.subjectGeneral Chemistry
dc.subjectGeneral Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology
dc.subjectGeneral Physics and Astronomy
dc.titleHalf a degree and rapid socioeconomic development matter for heatwave risken
dc.typejournal article
degois.publication.issue1
degois.publication.titleNature Communications
degois.publication.volume10
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccess

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NIMS: MagIC - Artigos em revista internacional com arbitragem científica (Peer-Review articles in international journals)