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A geostatistical exploratory analysis of precipitation extremes in southern Portugal

dc.contributor.authorCosta, Ana Cristina
dc.contributor.authorDurão, Rita
dc.contributor.authorSoares, Amilcar
dc.contributor.authorPereira, Maria João
dc.contributor.institutionNOVA Information Management School (NOVA IMS)
dc.contributor.pblINE - Instituto Nacional de Estatística
dc.date.accessioned2018-01-11T23:23:02Z
dc.date.available2018-01-11T23:23:02Z
dc.date.issued2008-03
dc.description.abstractIn Mediterranean climate regions, prolonged periods of unusually dry conditions reduce the availability of water resources and affect vegetation cover; while other areas can be affected by an increase in the number of heavy precipitation events, with an increase in the flood risk. Issues such as drought and erosive rainfall have been raising concern about the risks of land degradation and desertification. The main objective of this paper is to provide an insight of the geographic distribution of extreme precipitation events in the Southern region of continental Portugal, as a basis for a future study of the relationships between extreme rainfall patterns, both spatial and temporal, and desertification processes. The data used in this study are a set of 105 station records with daily precipitation observations for the period 1940–1999. This 60-year period was chosen to optimize data availability across the region, taking into consideration the quality control analysis performed. Among the numerous indices of extreme precipitation described in the literature, we selected three of them for an exploratory analysis: one index representing dry conditions, another one representing extremely heavy precipitation events and another index representing flood events. For each of these three indices, yearly trends and decadal space-time patterns are investigated. The results show no significant trends in the regional extreme indices. The geostatistical study concluded that the spatial patterns are more continuous in the last decade than the other ones before. The preliminary results of this study agree with other similar studies of the same region reported in the literature.en
dc.description.versionpublishersversion
dc.description.versionpublished
dc.format.extent12
dc.format.extent376930
dc.identifier.issn1645-6726
dc.identifier.otherPURE: 3264095
dc.identifier.otherPURE UUID: 006401c6-eac0-4479-8144-257aeaf5a6ff
dc.identifier.otherWOS: 000275192400003
dc.identifier.otherORCID: /0000-0003-2904-1028/work/46060972
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.ine.pt/revstat/pdf/rs080102.pdf
dc.identifier.urlhttp://www.ine.pt/revstat/pdf/rs080102.pdf
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.subjectindices of precipitation extremes
dc.subjectgeostatistical approach
dc.subjectsouthern Portugal
dc.subjectSDG 13 - Climate Action
dc.subjectSDG 15 - Life on Land
dc.titleA geostatistical exploratory analysis of precipitation extremes in southern Portugalen
dc.typejournal article
degois.publication.firstPage21
degois.publication.issue1
degois.publication.lastPage32
degois.publication.titleREVSTAT: Statistical Journal
degois.publication.volume6
dspace.entity.typePublication
rcaap.rightsopenAccess

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