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Projeto de investigação
Mitigating energy poverty vulnerability in future paradigms: Development of a big data computational tool for improved decision-making
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Mapping regional vulnerability to energy poverty in Poland
Publication . Karpinska, Lilia; Śmiech, Sławomir; Gouveia, João Pedro; Palma, Pedro; CENSE - Centro de Investigação em Ambiente e Sustentabilidade; Molecular Diversity Preservation International (MDPI)
Raising concerns about the effectiveness of the energy poverty policy actions in Poland, such as Clean Air and Stop Smog, brings forward the need to apply different strategies to identify the energy poor. More than 13.7% of Polish households were energy poor in 2018 according to the ability-to-keep-home-warm indicator. This study proposes enhancing the model-based approach to measure households’ energy poverty. Our goal is to assess regional vulnerability to energy poverty in Poland. The study relies on three national datasets and is conducted in two steps. The Energy Consumption Survey (2018) and the Household Budget Survey (2018) provide data for modeling household’s energy poverty in the first step. The Local Data Bank (2019) gives information on the potential factors increasing regional vulnerability to energy poverty evaluated in the second step. We apply multiple linear regression to identify energy-poor households and principal components analysis to examine the regions’ vulnerability factors. As a result, we produce several maps showing the spatial distribution of vulnerability to energy poverty in 380 Polish districts. Our results indicate that some northern, southern and eastern districts in Poland are primary targets of energy poverty policy actions.
Hard-to-reach energy users
Publication . Mundaca, Luis; Rotmann, Sea; Ashby, Kira; Karlin, Beth; Butler, Danielle; Sequeira, Miguel Macias; Gouveia, João Pedro; Palma, Pedro; Realini, Anna; Maggiore, Simone; Feenstra, Mariëlle; CENSE - Centro de Investigação em Ambiente e Sustentabilidade; Elsevier
Hard-to-reach (HTR) energy users encompass individuals who are physically difficult to reach, underserved, or challenging to engage and motivate in demand-side energy programmes. Given a mix of societal challenges (e.g. inequity, energy poverty, decarbonisation, the COVID-19 pandemic), HTR energy users are receiving increasing attention. However, there is a lack of knowledge on the performance of interventions that target (explicitly or implicitly) HTR energy users, particularly from a behaviour change perspective. Our study addresses this knowledge gap, and aims to provide a systematic ex-post comparative cross-country assessment of nineteen case studies, implemented in eight countries. From a methodological point of view, our study explores and tests the usefulness of applying the ‘Building Blocks of Behaviour Change’ (BBBC) in assessing the extent to which interventions employ design and implementation practices that are known to drive behaviour change. Our findings reveal that interventions perform well with respect to the Audience, Behaviour, and Delivery building blocks, but show room for improvement in the Content and Evaluate blocks. Assessing the BBBC framework reveals promising results in terms of credibility, confirmability, transferability, and reliability; however, limitations and uncertainties are also present. Considering the exploratory methodological nature of our study, the results highlight numerous context-specific factors that frame our findings and the suitability of the research approach. We underscore that greater attention must be paid to both the integration of behavioural science methods into HTR interventions, and the systematic analysis of heterogeneity in future HTR-related energy research.
Exploring Energy Poverty in Urban and Rural Contexts in the Era of Climate Change
Publication . Dokupilová, Dušana; Stojilovska, Ana; Palma, Pedro; Gouveia, João Pedro; Paschalidou, Eleftheria G.; Barrella, Roberto; Feenstra, Marielle; Horta, Ana; Sánchez-Guevara, Carmen; Kádár, József; Tesanovic, Majda; Thomaidis, Nikolaos S.; Hamed, Tareq Abu; CENSE - Centro de Investigação em Ambiente e Sustentabilidade; MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
This article examines the multidimensional problem of energy poverty, focusing on its connections to climate change and its manifestation at rural and urban scales across selected European countries and Israel. The study examined 31 locations in eight countries with diverse geographical and economic backgrounds: Bosnia and Herzegovina, Greece, North Macedonia, The Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Slovakia, and Israel. The article aims to understand how winter energy vulnerability in rural and urban locations in these countries could be identified using selected energy poverty indicators and how it evolves under the influence of climate change. A set of sociodemographic, infrastructural, and economic variables, combined with climate analysis, were selected and assessed for their impact on energy poverty. We found that energy poverty in most countries depends significantly on location and regional development. Due to a combination of factors influencing energy poverty, rural households tend to be more vulnerable. Furthermore, climate change consequences will likely leave rural areas more likely to experience energy poverty in the future.
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Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
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OE
Número da atribuição
SFRH/BD/146732/2019