Utilize este identificador para referenciar este registo: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/15076
Título: Macro determinants of nonperforming loans in Portugal
Autor: Branco, Tiago André Pereira
Orientador: Rodrigues, Paulo Manuel Marques
Data de Defesa: Jan-2015
Resumo: This study uses a VAR methodology to evaluate the impact of the macroeconomic conditions and money supply in the fluctuation of nonperforming loans for the Portuguese economy. Additionally, the feedback effect of nonperforming loans growth to the economy and specially to the credit supply is analised. The study is motived by the hypothesis that loan quality is procyclical and that the fast growth of credit supply has a positive relation with the growth of nonperforming loans. The hypothesis that nonperforming loans reinforce economic fragilities and credit market frictions is also tested. Empirical results corroborate both hypothesis presented. Hence, it was possible to establish that the macroeconomic conditions measured by GDP and unemployment and the fast growth of credit supply contribute to the development of nonperforming loans. Furthermore, the growth of nonperforming loans reinforces the economic cycle, as it contributes to the deterioration of macroeconomic conditions and creates frictions in the credit market that may results in a credit crunch.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10362/15076
Designação: A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Master’s Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
Aparece nas colecções:NSBE: Nova SBE - MA Dissertations

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