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Macroprudential framework: quantile var forecasting applied to the Portuguese economy

datacite.subject.fosCiências Sociais::Economia e Gestãopt_PT
dc.contributor.advisorRodrigues, Paulo Manuel Marques
dc.contributor.authorAguiar, Nuno Duarte Melo
dc.date.accessioned2022-07-21T14:28:09Z
dc.date.available2022-07-21T14:28:09Z
dc.date.issued2022-01-14
dc.date.submitted2021-12-16
dc.description.abstractThis work project explores the potentialities of Quantile VAR forecasting to study the entire probabilistic distribution of the Portuguese economy, with particular focus on its left tail and associated downside risks. It resorts to Chavleish viliet al. (2019) to confirm the nonlinearities and left tail downside skewness of the portuguese growth distribution, as well as the suitability and usefulness of using this method to enlarge the macroprudential policymaking strategy portfolio. It also compares Portugal’s framework to the original model’s Euro Area’s one and suggests further extensions and paths this field can follow to strengthen Economic’s role on bringing credibility and reform and to stimulate the economy’s underlying growth potential.pt_PT
dc.identifier.tid202975096pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/142254
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.relationNova School of Business and Economics
dc.subjectGrowthpt_PT
dc.subjectForecastingpt_PT
dc.subjectQuantilept_PT
dc.subjectMacroeconometricspt_PT
dc.titleMacroprudential framework: quantile var forecasting applied to the Portuguese economypt_PT
dc.typemaster thesis
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumberUID/ECO/00124/2013
oaire.awardTitleNova School of Business and Economics
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UID%2FECO%2F00124%2F2013/PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typemasterThesispt_PT
relation.isProjectOfPublication644a3f4f-817b-4d0d-aba6-f98cdca28bc7
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscovery644a3f4f-817b-4d0d-aba6-f98cdca28bc7
thesis.degree.nameA Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economicspt_PT

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